Later, while I was shuffling- I noticed two 9 of spades side by side.Repeat step 3 but multiply by 4 instead of 2, and this time consider getting an 8 as a third card, corresponding to the situation where the player is forced to stop resplitting.For a low house edge game like blackjack, the reduction in the probability of success will be small.

Dear Wizard, I was recently playing blackjack with somewhat of a card-shark who also happens to be my friend.I wrote a letter of complaint about it to the casino manager, stating in part: I just wanted to express my disappointment in this change, if it is true.Blackjack Probability Odds. Blackjack odds are percentage figures which represent your. This table will show the probability of the dealer busting or getting a.If the first card dealt is an ace what is the probability the dealer will have a blackjack.

Maybe you can take advantage of his complaining by offering to buy his hand for less than the fair 79 cents on the dollar.If you've ever been undecided about whether to hit or stand in a game of blackjack when the dealer's upcard is a "bust card," learning about the dealer's bust-out.If the probability of a dealer bust is 56% with a six, my calculation suggests the odds of this independent event happening six consecutive times is 0.23%.All of this assumes flat betting, otherwise the math really gets messy.Want to turn the blackjack odds in your favor? Basic blackjack strategy is the first thing you need to learn before betting real money at a live casino table.Can You Beat Blackjack by Betting on Streaks. Blackjack buffs lose more rounds than they win. His columns focused on gambling probability and statistics.

I tried to look on the Web but have no idea where I would find something like that.It seems to me that it takes a lot longer to win X number of chips that to lose the same amount (I only play blackjack).Answer. a. A basic strategy player can expect to bust about 16 percent of the time or once every six hands.

Also, since most strategies are based on millions of calculations done on a computer, I wonder if those of us who will never play a million hands can rely on slight variations like this one.Blackjack Outcome Calculator. Here, you can estimate the probability of winning or losing a specified amount of money given betsize, number of hands and advantage.In comparing expected values, I obtained the same numbers as you in all cases, except for pair splitting, which were slightly different.

This email newsletter is FREE, and every issue is packed with great articles on.

Consider a hypothetical side that pays 3 to 1 for any suited pair in a one-deck game.It seems only a 10 or face card can beat this and the odds would be in my favor if the dealer draws more than one card.

Complete tables showing the percentage probabilities of all dealer final totals in blackjack based on the dealer upcard.

When the dealer hits on a soft 17, the dealer will bust about 29.6% of the time.I was reading through some of your past Ask the Wizard columns and saw your calculation of the probability of a string of losses in the August 4, 2002 Column.My friend and I are debating two blackjack issues that arose from his Caribbean Vacation. (1) What shift in odds does the dealer NOT drawing the second card have.

So in 10,000 hands you are likely to win or lose less than 2% of total money bet due to random variation.One of my favorites was a guy who never looked at his cards playing blackjack.just tucked them.Blackjack - Probability. Any basic statistics book should have a. I am a blackjack dealer and last night I amazed my table on a single-deck blackjack.Lets assume a very basic set of rules and table for them, these rules are unlikely to be seen in any casino and the reason is clear, there is only a 0.04% edge in.

Blackjack is not entirely a game of independent trials like roulette, but the deck is not predisposed to run in streaks.I would have to do a computer simulation to consider all the other combinations.Losing hands, on the other hand, often lose only a single betting unit.This amazing professionally produced e-book includes 25 great articles by the stars of.